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		<title>Shadow Distressed Inventory Total 1.6 Million &#8211; Half of All Inventory Listed Properties</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/12/24/shadow-distressed-inventory-total-1-6-million-half-of-all-inventory-listed-properties/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2011 17:52:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Understanding Market Cycles]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The number of distressed properties not currently listed for sale on multiple listing services (MLSs) stood at 1.6 million as of October 2011, according to CoreLogic. This shadow inventory is approximately half of the industry’s visible inventory of homes available for sale, CoreLogic says. Thus, for every two homes available for sale, there is one home [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=246&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>The number of distressed properties not currently listed for sale on multiple listing services (MLSs) stood at 1.6 million as of October 2011, according to CoreLogic.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/shadows-five.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>This shadow inventory is approximately half of the industry’s visible inventory of homes available for sale, CoreLogic says. Thus, for every two homes available for sale, there is one home in the “shadows.” CoreLogic’s latest shadow inventory assessment represents a supply of five months and is down from October 2010, when shadow inventory stood at 1.9 million units, or 7-months’ supply. CoreLogic estimates the current stock of properties in the shadow inventory, also known as pending supply, by calculating the number of distressed properties not currently listed on MLSs that are seriously delinquent (90 days or more), in foreclosure, and real estate owned (REO) by lenders.</p>
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<p>Of the 1.6 million properties currently in the shadow inventory, 770,000 units are seriously delinquent, 430,000 are in foreclosure, and 370,000 are REO, according to CoreLogic’s report. Despite 3 million distressed sales since January 2009, a period when home prices were declining at their fastest rate, the shadow inventory in October 2011 is at the same level as January 2009, CoreLogic notes. Growth in the shadow supply, though, has been reined in by the fact that the flow of new seriously delinquent loans into the shadow inventory has been offset by a roughly equal flow of distressed REO and short sale transactions, the company explained.</p>
<p>Still, the shadow inventory is approximately four times higher than its low point (380,000 properties) at the peak of the housing bubble in mid-2006, CoreLogic says. The company contends that a healthy housing market should have less than one-month’s supply of shadow inventory, which would be an easily absorbed stock of distressed assets with little or no discernable impact on house prices, unless the inventory was geographically concentrated. Currently, Florida, California, and Illinois account for more than a third of the shadow inventory, CoreLogic reports. The top six states, which would also include New York, Texas, and New Jersey, are home to half of the shadow inventory.</p>
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		<title>Foreclosure Crisis Isn&#8217;t Even Halfway Over: Communities of Color Greatly Impacted by Crisis</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/12/07/foreclosure-crisis-isnt-even-halfway-over-communities-of-color-greatly-impacted-by-crisis/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Dec 2011 17:34:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The foreclosure crisis has had a long and destructive run – five years and counting, with millions put out of their homes. According to the Center for Responsible Lending(CRL), we’re not even halfway through the devastation. The organization’s analysis of 27 million mortgage loans originated over a five-year period found that 6.4% of mortgages made between 2004 and [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=243&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>The foreclosure crisis has had a long and destructive run – five years and counting, with millions put out of their homes. According to the Center for Responsible Lending(CRL), we’re not even halfway through the devastation.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/foreclosure-sign.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>The organization’s analysis of 27 million mortgage loans originated over a five-year period found that 6.4% of mortgages made between 2004 and 2008 have ended in foreclosure, and an additional 8.3% are at immediate, serious risk. The study also offers up evidence that foreclosure patterns are strongly linked with patterns of risky lending. According to CRL, foreclosure rates are consistently worse for borrowers who received high-risk loan products that were aggressively marketed before the housing crash, such as loans with prepayment penalties, hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), and option ARMs.</p>
<p>Looking at the demographics of foreclosure casualties, CRLfound that the majority of people affected by foreclosures have been white families. However, borrowers of color are more than twice as likely to lose their home, the organization says. According to CRL, these higher rates reflect the fact that African Americans and Latinos were consistently more likely to receive high-risk loan products, even after accounting for income and credit status. African Americans and Latinos were much more likely to receive subprime loans with high interest rates and loans with features that are associated with higher foreclosures,CRL explained. The nonprofit group found that these disparities were evident even when comparing borrowers within the same credit score ranges, with the gap especially pronounced for borrowers with higher credit scores.</p>
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<p>“Our study provides further support for the key role played by loan products in driving foreclosures,” CRL said. “Specific populations that received higher-risk products-regardless of income and credit status-were more likely to lose their homes.” While some blame the subprime disaster on policies designed to expand access to mortgage credit, CRL says the facts undercut these claims. Instead, the group argues that dangerous products, aggressive marketing, and poor loan underwriting were major drivers of foreclosures in the subprime market. CRLcredits the Dodd-Frank Act as the first vital step taken to strengthen mortgage protections by restricting the use of risky products and requiring lenders to consider each borrower’s ability to repay a loan. “These new rules will certainly have a positive effect on the success of future mortgages,” CRL said.</p>
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		<title>Past Due Mortgages = 6,298,000 down from 8,118,000 peak in January 2010</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/12/03/past-due-mortgages-6298000-down-from-8118000-peak-in-january-2010/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Dec 2011 04:27:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://terryejames.wordpress.com/?p=241</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There were 6,298,000 mortgages going unpaid in the United States as of the end of October, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS). It’s a daunting number, but the data show that it’s actually been on a fairly steady decline for nearly two years now. At the start of 2011, the total number of non-current mortgages in the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=241&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There were 6,298,000 mortgages going unpaid in the United States as of the end of October, according to <a href="http://www.lpsvcs.com/" target="_blank">Lender Processing Services</a> (LPS).</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/past-due-mortgage-four.jpg" alt="" /></p>
<p>It’s a daunting number, but the data show that it’s actually been on a fairly steady decline for nearly two years now. At the start of 2011, the total number of non-current mortgages in the U.S. stood at 6,870,000. In January 2010, it was 8,118,000. LPS’ more recent reports show the industry is slowly but surely chipping away at the number each and every month – the result of both loss mitigation workouts and removing loans that cannot be resolved from the inventory through foreclosure. At September month-end, the tally of non-current mortgages was 6,373,000. It was 6,397,000 at the end of August and 6,538,000 at the end of July. LPS’ data indicates mortgage delinquencies are declining while the nation’s foreclosure inventory is growing.</p>
<p>Of the 6,298,000 loans past due at the end of October, 2,329,000 were behind on their payments by 30-89 days and 1,759,000 were 90 or more days delinquent but not yet referred to foreclosure. Combined, these tallies represent 7.93% of the nation’s outstanding mortgages that are delinquent but not in foreclosure. The October delinquency rate is down 2.0% from the previous month and is 14.6% lower than the rate recorded in October 2010. The foreclosure inventory rate, on the other hand, is up by both measures. LPS says 4.29% of the nation’s mortgages are winding their way through the foreclosure process, a month-over-month increase of 2.5% and a year-over-year increase of 9.4%. By LPS’ calculations, there were 2,210,000 residential mortgage loans in foreclosure at October month-end. States with highest percentage of non-current loans – which combines foreclosures and delinquencies – include: Florida, Mississippi, Nevada, New Jersey, and Illinois. Montana, Wyoming, South Dakota, Alaska, and North Dakota have the lowest percentage of non-current loans.</p>
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		<title>Delinquencies Still Falling but Foreclosures at an All-Time High  &#8211; 631 days average</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/12/03/delinquencies-still-falling-but-foreclosures-at-an-all-time-high-631-days-average/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 16:23:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Understanding Market Cycles]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Data released by Lender Processing Services (LPS) Thursday shows mortgage delinquencies are continuing to decline, now nearly 30% below their January 2010 peak. Loans in the process of foreclosure, on the other hand, are steadily rising. LPS says foreclosure inventories reached an all-time high at the end of October, making up 4.29%  of all active mortgages. The average days [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=239&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="articleColumn1">
<p>Data released by <a href="http://www.lpsvcs.com/" target="_blank">Lender Processing Services</a> (LPS) Thursday shows mortgage delinquencies are continuing to decline, now nearly 30% below their January 2010 peak.</p>
<p><a href="http://terryejames.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/past-due-mortgage-three.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-146" title="past-due-mortgage-three" src="http://terryejames.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/past-due-mortgage-three.jpg?w=300&#038;h=198" alt="" width="300" height="198" /></a></p>
<p>Loans in the process of foreclosure, on the other hand, are steadily rising. LPS says foreclosure inventories reached an all-time high at the end of October, making up 4.29%  of all active mortgages.</p>
<p>The average days delinquent for loans in foreclosure extended as well during the month of October, setting a new record of 631 days since last payment, while the average days delinquent for loans 90 or more days past due but not yet in foreclosure decreased for the second consecutive month.</p>
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<div id="articleColumn2">
<p>LPS says judicial vs. non-judicial foreclosure processes remain a significant factor in the reduction of foreclosure pipelines from state to state, with foreclosure inventory percentages in non-judicial less than half that of their judicial counterparts.</p>
<p>This is largely a result of the fact that foreclosure sale rates in non-judicial states have been proceeding at four to five times that of judicial, LPS explained.</p>
<p>Non-judicial foreclosure states made up the entirety of the top 10 states with the largest year-over-year decline in non-current loans percentages. Arizona led the way with a 23.9% annual drop in non-current mortgages. California wasn’t far behind with a 20.2% decline, and in Nevada, non-current loans are down 19.1% from a year earlier.</p>
<p>LPS’ October data also showed that mortgage originations are on the rise, reaching levels not seen since mid-2010. Mortgage prepayment rates have also spiked, as much of the new origination is related to borrower refinancing. LPSsays loans originated in 2009 and later are the primary drivers of the increase in refinances.</p>
<p>While origination activity for Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans is down, GSE and FHAoriginations still account for the vast majority of all new loans – nearly nine out of every 10 new mortgages, according to LPS.</p>
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		<title>Real Estate Shadow Inventory Beginning to Shrink &#8211; 45 Months to Clear Current Levels</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/30/real-estate-shadow-inventory-beginning-to-shrink-45-months-to-clear-current-levels/</link>
		<comments>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/30/real-estate-shadow-inventory-beginning-to-shrink-45-months-to-clear-current-levels/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Nov 2011 17:06:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[That ominous shadow inventory of repossessed and soon-to-be repossessed homes is getting smaller. Standard and Poor’s (S&#38;P) has released its third-quarter shadow inventory update, which shows both the volume of distressed assets and the amount of time it’d take to liquidate these properties is contracting. S&#38;P says the volume of distressed residential mortgages included in its shadow [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=236&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>That ominous shadow inventory of repossessed and soon-to-be repossessed homes is getting smaller.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/shadows-three.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>Standard and Poor’s (S&amp;P) has released its third-quarter shadow inventory update, which shows both the volume of distressed assets and the amount of time it’d take to liquidate these properties is contracting. S&amp;P says the volume of distressed residential mortgages included in its shadow inventory estimate remained “extremely high” at $384 billion in the third quarter, but it has declined in each quarter since mid-2010. S&amp;P’s third-quarter evaluation is down from $405 billion at the end of the previous quarter.</p>
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<p>“We believe this points to a continued drop in the amount of time it will take to clear this ‘shadow inventory’ over the next year assuming national liquidation rates do not decline abruptly,” the analysts at S&amp;P said in their report. Regional default and liquidation rates varied widely in the third quarter of 2011, but overall improvements prompted S&amp;P to lower its projection of the number of months to clear the supply of distressed homes on the market and coming down the pipeline.</p>
<p>The agency now estimates that it will take 45 months to work through the national shadow inventory. This assessment is seven months below S&amp;P’s peak estimate of 52 months in March 2011, but is three months longer than the agency’s estimate a year ago. S&amp;P calculates shadow inventory as the number of properties for which borrowers are 90 days or more delinquent on their mortgage payments, properties in foreclosure, and properties that are REO. The agency also includes 70% of the loans that “cured” from being 90 days delinquent within the past 12 months because these loans carry a higher risk of redefault.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Housing Prices Are 28.3% Below Peak in Mid-2006</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/16/housing-prices-are-28-3-below-peak-in-mid-2006/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Nov 2011 16:17:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Understanding Market Cycles]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://terryejames.wordpress.com/?p=232</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[National home prices have been on the decline since June 2006 with a few bursts of increases, which Lender Processing Services (LPS) attributes to seasonal trends. Overall, prices have declined 28.3% since their peak in June 2006, according to LPS’ new home price index. From July 2007 to December 2009, prices declined an average of 13.8% annually. [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=232&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>National home prices have been on the decline since June 2006 with a few bursts of increases, which Lender Processing Services (LPS) attributes to seasonal trends. Overall, prices have declined 28.3% since their peak in June 2006, according to LPS’ new home price index.</p>
<p><a href="http://terryejames.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/mp900442362.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-89" title="Home For Sale Sign in Front of Beautiful New Home" src="http://terryejames.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/mp900442362.jpg?w=300&#038;h=199" alt="" width="300" height="199" /></a></p>
<p>From July 2007 to December 2009, prices declined an average of 13.8% annually. The total decline for this period of rapid decline was $56,000, according to LPS. After December 2009, prices began to decline at a slower pace, posting an annual decline of 3.6% and falling a total of $20,000 from December 2009 to the present.</p>
<p>LPS reports home prices fell 0.9% across the nation in August, after a smaller 0.4% decline the previous month. August prices were 3.8% below last year’s prices. This ended a series of increases during the spring of this year; a pattern that has occurred each year since 2009. In addition, the early, partial data for September sales indicates a likely further decline of approximately 1.1% to come. Price declines were relatively steady across the country in August, though declines varied somewhat between higher- and lower-priced homes.</p>
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<p>Higher-priced homes – those above $321,000 – declined by 0.72%, while homes below $103,000 declined 1% in August. 23 of the 26 largest MSAs declined in August. Prices in Chicago, Detroit, and Minneapolis remained relatively the same from July to August. Among the MSAs with the greatest declines during the month of August, most were in California or Arizona. However, the greatest decline occurred in Gainesville, Georgia, which posted a 3% decline for the month. Prices have fallen 0.4% nationally since the beginning of this year. Prices in 10 of the 26 largest MSAs have declined since the beginning of the year.</p>
<p>The largest of these declines have occurred in Atlanta and Phoenix, which have seen declines of 10.5% and 5.2% respectively. In contrast, the largest increases since the beginning of the year have taken place in Detroit and Pittsburgh, which have seen increases of 10.8% and 4.5% respectively.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Foreclosure Activity Increases for Third Straight Month</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/11/225/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2011 15:27:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosure filings in October rose 7%  from the previous month, RealtyTrac reported Thursday. Including default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions – which all increased month-over-month – filings were reported on 230,678 U.S. properties in October. That grand total is down nearly 31% from a year earlier, when servicers began putting the brakes on foreclosure actions due to [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=225&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>Foreclosure filings in October rose 7%  from the previous month, <a href="http://www.realtytrac.com/" target="_blank">RealtyTrac</a> reported Thursday.<br />
<img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/foreclosure-notice-two.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /><br />
Including default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions – which all increased month-over-month – filings were reported on 230,678 U.S. properties in October. That grand total is down nearly 31% from a year earlier, when servicers began putting the brakes on foreclosure actions due to paperwork issues. But RealtyTrac has documented a rise in filings for three consecutive months now – a sign that servicers are working through the backlog of cases that have been delayed.</p>
<p>While the October numbers indicate unpaid mortgages are finally making their way through the pipeline, James Saccacio, RealtyTrac’s CEO, says he’s concerned other forces at work could throw a wrench in foreclosure processing. “[R]ecent state court rulings and new state laws keep changing the rules of the foreclosure game on the fly,” Saccacio said, “creating more uncertainty in the housing market and threatening to prolong the road to a robust real estate recovery.”</p>
<p>Nevada is one example of a change in foreclosure rules. It saw a 34% decrease in filings, driven by a new state law that took effect in October and requires lenders to sign and record an affidavit with key information about any pending foreclosure. The foreclosure hotbed of Las Vegas recorded a 36% decrease in overall foreclosure activity, caused by an 80% drop in new default notices from September to October. Las Vegas had held onto the title of highest metro foreclosure rate for 22 consecutive months, but with October’s decline, it slipped to the No. 5 spot.</p>
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<p>The 1,201 new defaults in the whole state of Nevada last month was its lowest since June 2006. Even with the sharp drop-off in activity, Nevada posted the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate for the 58th straight month. Defaults in California, Florida, and Michigan – on the other hand – all rose to their highest levels in at least a year. California default notices increased 17% from the previous month to 29,240, pushing the state’s foreclosure rate to the second highest in the nation.</p>
<p>A sharp monthly increase in both new default notices and scheduled auctions boosted the foreclosure rate in Florida to fourth highest among the states. A total of 15,234 new default notices were reported in Florida last month, up 28% from the previous month. Scheduled auctions in Florida hit 10,655 in October, up 57 percent from September. New default notices in Michigan also reached a 12-month high, increasing 13% from the previous month. The state posted the nation’s fifth highest foreclosure rate for in October. Wedged in there at No. 3 was Arizona. Total foreclosure activity there increased nearly 18% from the previous month, but was still down 36 percent from October of last year.</p>
<p>Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10 were Georgia, Illinois, Idaho, Oregon, and Colorado.</p>
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		<title>REO Opportunities to Increase in 2012 as Foreclosure Starts Rise as Servicers Process Backlog of Delinquent Loans</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/09/reo-opportunities-to-increase-in-2012-as-foreclosure-starts-rise-as-servicers-process-backlog-of-delinquent-loans/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2011 15:00:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://terryejames.wordpress.com/?p=221</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosure starts among private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) have been rising toward historic averages over the past six months, which will lead to an influx of distressed properties bringing downward pressure to the housing market, according to recent RMBS Performance Metrics from Fitch Ratings. According to Fitch, foreclosure start rates for severely delinquent RMBS loans have stayed [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=221&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>Foreclosure starts among private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) have been rising toward historic averages over the past six months, which will lead to an influx of distressed properties bringing downward pressure to the housing market, according to recent RMBS Performance Metrics from Fitch Ratings.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/foreclosure-notice-three.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>According to Fitch, foreclosure start rates for severely delinquent RMBS loans have stayed above 10% since September — a rate they have not reached since November 2009 — and have been working their way toward their 14% average between 2000 and 2010. “Rising foreclosure start rates are likely a sign that servicers are playing catch-up on actions that have been delayed over the past year,” states Diane Pendley, managing director of Fitch Ratings. In fact, the rise in foreclosure starts has occurred most heavily among severely delinquent loans. Foreclosure starts among loans that have been delinquent for six months or more have almost doubled in the past five months.</p>
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<p>In contrast, foreclosure starts among loans three months to six months delinquent have increased by 25% over the past five months. The foreclosure process is averaging about eight months in non-judicial states and 15 months in judicial states, according to Fitch. Despite foreclosure starts being on the rise, foreclosure completions in judicial states hover near their historic lows. Fitch attributes this to “servicers’ continued loss mitigation efforts, a backlog in court foreclosure filings, and weak demand in the housing market.”</p>
<p>About a year after deficiencies in the foreclosure process were brought to light, Pendley says, “Mortgage servicers now generally feel they have implemented the corrective actions that they determined were needed. With corrective actions now in place, servicers now need to process a significant backlog of problem loans as well as implement other process changes in parallel,” she continues.</p>
<p>The effects of rising foreclosure starts as servicers work their way through the backlog of distressed loans may not be evident for more than a year, according to Fitch.</p>
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		<title>Home Price Growth Has Dissipated With the Summer Heat: West Coast Weak</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/08/home-price-growth-has-dissipated-with-the-summer-heat-west-coast-weak/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Nov 2011 14:25:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Temperatures are falling, and so are home prices in most local markets. Clear Capital says it’s expecting another long winter as the housing industry tries to cope with the downward forces of weak demand, record-low consumer confidence, and distressed inventory. Quarterly home price gains through October retreated to near-flat levels with only 0.6% growth at the national [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=219&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>Temperatures are falling, and so are home prices in most local markets. Clear Capital says it’s expecting another long winter as the housing industry tries to cope with the downward forces of weak demand, record-low consumer confidence, and distressed inventory.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/thermometer-cold.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>Quarterly home price gains through October retreated to near-flat levels with only 0.6% growth at the national level, compared to the 3.5% quarterly increase reported by Clear Capital in September. The seasonal gains seen during the stronger spring and summer months have not been enough to push year-over-year home prices into the black.</p>
<p>Clear Capital’s October index reading puts national home prices 2.8% below a year ago. It marks the 13th consecutive month that annual price changes have fallen on the minus side of the data chart. “October home price gains have leveled out, confirming what our data has pointed to over the last several months,” said Dr. Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics at Clear Capital. “Short term gains have been nearly eliminated while longer term performance measures point to mostly negative territory through the turn of the year.”</p>
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<p>Across the nation, local markets experienced a general downward trend in October as the highest performing markets posted softer gains and the lowest performing markets experienced stronger declines. The West is showing continued weakness and Clear Capital says it is the first region to dip into negative territory coming off the summer months, posting a loss of 1.0% quarter-over-quarter in October, compared to a 0.3% quarterly increase the month before. On an annual basis, the West is also posting the largest decline, with home prices down 5.5%.</p>
<p>The Midwest checked in with solid quarterly growth of 2.6% last month, but when compared to the previous month’s growth of 7.2%, Clear Capital says it’s clear the strong Midwestern markets are also starting to feel that oncoming winter chill. Looking at individual metro areas, Clear Capital’s data show Cleveland, Ohio, was the highest quarter-over-quarter performer last month with a 6.2% price increase, while Las Vegas, Nevada, was the lowest performing market with a 3.4% decrease.</p>
<p>Price differentials between high-performing and low-performing markets can largely be attributed to the number of distressed properties changing hands. As a whole, the REO saturation rate – calculated as the percentage of bank-owned homes sold as compared to all properties sold – for the highest performing markets is less than 23%, according to Clear Capital. It averages 30% for the lowest performing counterparts. Some lowest performing markets are dealing with REO saturation rates close to the 50% mark, including Las Vegas (49%) and Detroit (47%).</p>
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		<title>Foreclosure Timeline Increases to 624 Days in 2011: a 28% Increase</title>
		<link>http://terryejames.wordpress.com/2011/11/03/foreclosure-timeline-increases-to-624-days-in-2011-a-28-increase/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Nov 2011 13:08:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Real Estate Group</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Market Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Understanding Market Cycles]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Mortgages backing homes that were foreclosed on in September had been delinquent for an average of 624 days, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS). That’s up from 484 days in September of last year, just before the processing issues surfaced. That 624-day foreclosure timeline is the national average. LPS says timelines in judicial states continue to extend at [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=terryejames.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8851269&amp;post=215&amp;subd=terryejames&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>Mortgages backing homes that were foreclosed on in September had been delinquent for an average of 624 days, according to Lender Processing Services (LPS). That’s up from 484 days in September of last year, just before the processing issues surfaced.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.dsnews.com/site/img/catalog/articles/foreclosure-sign-two.jpg" alt="" width="340" height="225" border="0" /></p>
<p>That 624-day foreclosure timeline is the national average. LPS says timelines in judicial states continue to extend at a greater rate. The time from last payment made to foreclosure sale in judicial states is 761 days, which is six months longer than in non-judicial states. Consequently, the company’s study shows foreclosure sales in judicial foreclosure states remain very low, with only 1.6% of their foreclosure inventories moving to sale. The slow pace of liquidation has caused the foreclosure pipeline to balloon, with nearly 7% of the entire active loan count in judicial states in foreclosure.</p>
<p>Ranked by the percentage of loans that are non-current, seven of the top 10 states are judicial foreclosure states: Florida, New Jersey, Illinois, Ohio, Indiana, Louisiana, and Maryland. Non-judicial states making LPS’ top-10 list include Mississippi, Nevada, and Georgia. Looking at the national foreclosure population, LPS says almost 40% of loans in foreclosure have not made a payment in two years, and 72% have not made a payment in a year or more.</p>
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<p>Overall, foreclosure starts in September were slightly below the three-year average, LPS reports. Servicers initiated foreclosure on 220,273 homes during the month, down 11% from the prior month and 15% from a year earlier. New problem loan rates have increased sharply over the last two months, with 1.6% of loans that were current six months ago now 60 or more days delinquent or in foreclosure. LPS says the “sand states” and the Midwest have the highest new problem loan rates.</p>
<p>The company reports that delinquencies are now almost 2x and foreclosures are 8x their pre-crisis levels. LPS says modification volumes have been falling since June of last year and are continuing to head south. About 2 million mortgage modifications have taken place since January 2010. On the plus side, modification attributes have changed significantly since the beginning of the housing crisis. From the beginning of 2010, the percentage of mods resulting in payment reductions has held fairly steady at close to 90%. As a result, the performance of modified loans has improved. LPS data show that the percentage of modified loans 60 or more days delinquent after at least 12 months stood at about 24% during the second quarter of this year, compared to a re-default rate above 50% in early 2009.</p>
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